NFL picks against the spread: Patriots, Packers are good picks, even with big lines

The early games are set to go this Week 13. Who will win and who will cover the spread? Here is who I have in the early games.

Jaguars at Bills: The Bills are favored by a touchdown. The Jags have been playing better with Chad Henne at QB. They took Houston to OT. Pick: Jags, +7.

Seahawks at Bears: Bears favored by three, and I don't trust Seattle on the road this year. Plus, Chicago is good. Pick: Bears, -3.

Colts at Lions; The Lions are favored by six. This game will be Andrew Luck making plays. Pick: Lions, +6.

Vikings at Packers: Green Bay is a nine-point favorite. They will bounce back nicely after getting obliterated by the Giants. Give away the points. Packers, -9.

Panthers at Chiefs: Cam Newton and the Panters are three point favorites over the Chiefs, who will mourn the loss of their teammate. However, the team doesn't have enough talent to overcome the Panthers. Pick: Panthers, -3.

Patriots at Dolphins: The Pats are the nine-point favorites. They are just rolling right now. Pick: Pats, -9.

Cardinals at Jets: New York is favored by six. Even with Arizona's struggles, they play too many close games. Pick: Cards, +6.

49ers at Rams: The Niners are favored by eight. They played to a tie just a few weeks ago in San Fran. They aren't happy about it. Beat down time. Pick: San Fran, -8.

Texans at Titans: The Texans have been playing close games and are favored by seven and a half. You never know what to expect from Tennessee. Pick: Titans, +7.5.