NFL Picks, Week 17: The Patriots Don't Have Enough To Play For, Won't Cover Against Bills

We review the lines for Week 17 of the NFL season and make our picks against the spread.

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NFL Picks, Week 17: Tim Tebow For The AFC West Win

Here is our final group of picks against the spread for the final week of the NFL season. In Week 17 there are a few playoff spots up for grabs an three division titles on the line. Several of those big games come late in the schedule.

Here's our picks for the early games and the middle games and now we give you our final picks for the NFL regular season.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (n/a): The line for this game isn't set thanks to the questionable status of QB Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers need the game for playoff seeding but their need their QB healthy to advance in the postseason. Tough call. We obviously like the Steelers to win but wouldn't pick them to cover on the road against the scrappy Browns team if the line is over seven. Pick: Steelers

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-3): The Cards will likely be without Kevin Kolb (again) while the Seahawks are missing their top two receivers. Both teams are playing for an 8-8 record which is a moral win for one of these teams that started the season slow. Pick: Cardinals

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-3.5): The Broncos control their fate and can win the AFC West with a win. The Chiefs have been difficult for teams but at home and with the playoffs on the line can we really go against Tim Tebow? Pick: Broncos

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-3): The Raiders could also win the AFC West if the Broncos lose and there are Wildcard scenarios for them as well. The Chargers have imploded in part due to injuries and in part due to who knows what. Pick: Raiders

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-2.5): Both of these teams had their chances to secure the NFC East and neither seemed to want it. Now it comes down to this head-to-head battle with one team unable to blow the division. Tony Romo is banged up the Cowboys have been bad on the road. Pick: Giants

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NFL Picks, Week 17: The Eagles Are Finally Flying, But Can They Cover?

For many NFL teams in Week 17 there's little to play for besides pride. Many others, however, are playing for playoff spots or vital seeding. You better believe that we take that into account when making our picks against the spread for Week 17.

Here's our picks for the second group of games. Here's the first group of picks with the final picks posting on Thursday.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-10): Cam Newton and the Panthers had a pretty nice season but their defense couldn't hold up their end of the deal. The Saints are fighting for playoff seeding and will almost certainly win this game and put up points on the Panthers. But the Saints defense isn't great either and will be the reason the Saints don't cover this line. Pick: Panthers

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-9): The Eagles have won three-straight and are finally putting all that "Dream Team" talent to good use. The Skins are long done but in a division game, you can't count them out. Just kidding, you can count them out. Pick: Eagles

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams (+10.5): The Rams are really bad and playing for a chance at the number one overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. The 49ers want that second seed and are very good. Pick: 49ers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-10.5): Oh, Tampa Bay, how you've disappointed us this season. The Falcons are exactly great but thanks to an easy schedule they have nine wins and have clinched a Wildcard spot and now have little to play for. The line is too big. Pick: Bucs

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+3): This line feels about right with the Bengals still in the Wildcard hunt and the Ravens want that first round bye. This game, actually, should be one of the better ones this week. Pick: Ravens

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NFL Picks, Week 17: Packers And Patriots Cruise Through The Finish Line

NFL Week 17 is finally here. It's been a long season with a lot of ugly football but when it comes to picking against the spread, none of that matters. We don't care who wins or losses, just by how much. We are coming off a tough week where we went 7-9 ATS but that still puts us at 128-121 for the season with our picks against the Vegas spread.

Here's picks for the first bunch of games for the final week of the NFL regular season. We'll be back Wednesday and Thursday with the rest of this week's picks.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (+1): The Texans at 10-5 have clinched their division but are seeing the effects of having to start their third-string QB while the Titans (8-7) are still fighting for a Wildcard spot. Pick: Titans

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-5): The Colts absolutely can't afford another win if they hope to remain in the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes. They've won two games, which might be one too many with the Rams also now in the mix at 2-13. If the Colts don't tank this game, than we have to question the meaning of the word. Pick: Jaguars

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-1): The Jets blew their chance to take hold of their playoff fortunes by losing to the Giants last week. That team has been inconsistent and a real disappointment this season and Rex Ryan should be on the hot seat. Pick: Dolphins

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-13): Do the Patriots have enough to play for to win this game by such a big spread? We don't think so. Pick: Patriots

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (n/a): No line has been set for this game yet so we'll go with the obvious and pick the Packers to win. Pick: Packers

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (n/a): No line has been set for this game yet either and with both teams dealing with huge injuries, it's a stumble to the finish. We'll go with the home team to win. Pick: Vikings

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NFL Picks, Week 16: New York Will Cover The Spread Against New York

Let the bad jokes flow with this slate of NFL Week 16 games that includes the big Jets vs. Giants battle for New Jersey. Our picks against the spread today include a coin toss to see if the Patriots will cover and leaves us scratching our heads about the huge line for the Steelers given their quarterback situation. Here's the picks for this group of Week 16 games. Picks for the early part of the schedule are here and the rest will come tomorrow.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-1): The Chiefs are coming off their big upset over the Packers and have found themselves with a respectable 6-8 record considering their injuries this season. The Raiders (7-7) are still technically in the Wildcard hunt but their chances are slim at best. With the way Oakland has been playing of late, we see no reason to think their playoff hopes won't end in KC this week. Pick: Chiefs

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10): This one is all about the spread and the Dolphins are 4-3 ATS on the road which doesn't give us much guidance. The Pats are locked up their division but are still playing for seeding while Miami has proven to be a tough opponents for good teams at times this season. When in doubt, go with the home team. Pick: Patriots

New York Giants at New York Jets (-3): This game has far more interest in the media capital of the world than in the rest of the country who have tuned out of both these mediocre teams. Both have a lot to play for and the Giants are banged up which helps explain the line favoring the Jets. Like the rest of the country, I suspect, we've been burned countless times by Rex Ryan's team this season and would avoid this game like the plague if we could. We can't. Pick: Giants

St. Louis Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers (-17): It seems impossible to think that after what we saw Monday night that Roethlisberger will play in this game. It was foolish for him to go last week and at home against a really bad Rams teams they shouldn't need him. Honestly, if they can't beat the Rams with their back up QB than they just aren't that good. That said, with a back up QB this line is too high and if a hobbled Ben does play it's still too high. Pick: Rams

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-7.5): We can't really figure Tennessee out this season but they are banged up heading into this game. The Jaguars have pulls off a few nice upsets but have struggled to put points on the board and the Titans defense is still very good and should give them this win and hopefully enough margin to cover the spread as well. Pick: Titans

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-6.5): If at all possible, don't watch this game. Pick: Vikings

San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions (-3): The Chargers are finally coming back to life but it's probably too late. The Lions were super lucky to escape with the win over the Raiders last week and while they are at home, they still have plenty of issues on offense. Pick: Chargers

 

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NFL Picks, Week 15: Tim Tebow Playing On Christmas Eve Is A Gift For Us All

This is it folks, NFL Week 16 marks the next to final slate of regular season football and we are still here with our picks against the spread. We went 9-8 last week, picking the Chiefs to cover (they won) and picking the Ravens to easy beat the Chargers (they lost). For the season we are now 121-112 ATS.

The early games on Week 16 include the return of Tim Tebow on Christmas Eve, what could be better? (Tebow ON Christmas, of course.). Here's our first slate of picks which starts with Thursday's game and then kicks off Saturday NFL football.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+5.5): The Colts finally won a game but they won't want to risk Andrew Luck by winning another. The Texans are still very much in the playoff discussion despite having quarterback injury issues. This one should be a rollover for the Texans as they roll over the Colts who will roll over for Luck. Pick: Texans

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-13.5): The Ravens will do their things and bounce back after losing to the Chargers but the Browns have proved to be a feisty bad team that plays hard. Even if Colt McCoy still can't play, Cleveland should be able to lose with dignity and keep the Ravens from covering this big spread. Pick: Browns

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (+3): Tim Tebow (!) will have the shackles of having to play a good team removed and with that freedom should once again capture the hearts and hate of bipolar America. The poor Bills are merely the lambs being led to this slaughter. Pick: Broncos

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7): Poor Cam Newton had all his thunder stolen by some other unconventional QB who happens to have the good fortune of playing with a top defense. The Bucs are, well they are horrible. Pick: Panthers

Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5): The Cardinals may or may not have Kevin Kolb back for this game and it may or may not matter. We've only seen one solid half of football from Kolb while John Skelton is doing his best Tebow and winning ugly (and with defense). The Bengals are good but will likely be without A.J. Green and should still be favored but not by this much. Pick: Cardinals

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NFL Picks, Week 15: Brady Vs. Tebow For All The Marbles

The best games on the schedule for NFL Week 15 come late in the day Sunday and then Monday night. We will get to finally find out if Tom Brady is really better than Tim Tebow and on MNF, the 49ers battle the Steelers for respect and playoff seeding. We have our picks against the spread for these final five games of the week.

Here's our picks for the earlier games here and here. We're 112-104 ATS this season. How are you doing?

Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders (+1.5): Oh, how these two "mighty" teams have fallen. Darren McFadden is still doubtful and Carson Palmer is still Carson Palmer. But things aren't all that better with the Lions. We'll got with the home team here and hope that Sea Bass can kick the Raiders to a win. Pick: Raiders

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+7): This is the showdown fans ESPN has been waiting for! Finally, we can determine who is the best quarterback in the NFL. Does accurate passing of the football beat mobility and running the college-style option? We'll finally find out on Sunday!...But we already know the answer. Pick: Patriots

New  York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles (-3): Two teams that have failed to meet expectations with one who's season is all but done and the other who still has a chance to make the playoffs. This game will decided which is which. The Jets are a bit healthier and better defensively. Pick: Jets

Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers (+3): I can't come up with any reason why this line is so small other than the Ravens history of playing down to their competition. Yes, we're surprised the Chargers have the same record as the Cardinals, but that doesn't change the fact they do and Baltimore still have plenty to play for with playoff seeding on the line. Pick: Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5): The Steelers are a better football team if healthy. They are not healthy and likely won't have Ben Roethlisberger for this game. The 49ers are upset they lost to the Cardinals and are still battling for seeding. They are also battling for respect and confidence heading into the playoffs. Pick: 49ers

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NFL Picks, Week 15: The Packers Will Struggle To Cover Against the Chiefs

The NFL is coming down to the wire with just a handful of games left on the schedule for each team. For some, Week 15 is an exciting time with playoff implications in the balance. For others, NFL Week 15 is a nearing of the end of a horrible season that can come fast enough. For others, it's just another week to match our skills at making picks against the spread.

Here's our picks for NFL Week 15 with five games. We published our picks for the first five games here.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (+7): The Colts have a full two-game lead on the "Suck for Luck" campaign but that doesn't mean we expect to see them let off the pedal now. Pick: Titans

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs (+14.5): New coach in KC and the Packers are rolling. Green Bay is 2-1 ATS with the spread over ten against bad teams in their last five games. It's kind of a coin toss but we'll go with the Chiefs getting a bounce and keeping within the margin. Pick: Chiefs

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (+7): The Saints are marching and marching and what not. The Vikings are done. This one is pretty easy. Pick: Saints

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-7): The Giants are coming off their win over the Cowboys and need to take this step forward to wining the NFC East. There's no reason to think the Redskins will stand in their way. Pick: Giants

Cincinnati Bengals at St. Louis Rams (+7): The Rams are very bad either at home or not at home. They are at home which is why they are only seven-point dogs to the Bengals. Pick: Bengals

 

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NFL Picks, Week 14: Cowboys Should Beat And Cover Vs. Giants

NFL Week 14 is here and we are too with our weekly picks against the spread. We had a fantastic showing last week, going 13-3. We picked the Colts to beat the spread, we picked the Saints plus the points, and we picked Tim Tebow. We struck out on the Packers covering, the Falcons winning and the Cardinals. We are now 101-84 ATS this season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Here's our first five picks for Week 14 and the next five. Now we'll share the remaining picks for this week.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (+4): Last week we got burned picking the Cardinals to lose to the Cowboys with a similar line. This week, the Cardinals should look even better with Kevin Kolb having shaken off the rust in the first half against Dallas. The Niners, however, are a far better team than Dallas and Kolb hasn't shown any kind of consistency in his career. It won't shock us if Arizona wins again based on their improved defense and special teams but we're not going to pick that. Pick: 49ers

Chicago Bears at Denver Broncos (-3.5): There is zero chance of us picking against Tim Tebow at home against the beat up Bears team. Frankly, we're surprised the line is this small. Pick: Broncos

Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers (-11.5): The Steelers failed to cover a 14-point spread at home against a bad team, although injury did play a bit of a role. It's pretty much a roll of the dice if the Packers will be able to beat a banged up Raiders team by this big a margin. In the end we just love writing "pick" and "Packers" together. Pick: Packers.

Buffalo Bills at San Diego Chargers (-7): Absolutely anything is possible in this game. If you are betting real money, stay away. If you are making picks for fun, flip a coin. Pick: Chargers

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5): This is clearly the game of the week with the NFC East on the line. The Cowboys are the better team and are at home. They are healthier and should be able to run the ball. Eli Manning, however, can have success against a shaky Cowboys secondary and this game could easily be decided by exactly three points. Pick: Cowboys

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (n/a): There's no line posted for this game yet but when you combine how poorly the Rams are playing with the Seahawks great home record, the spread would have to be over seven for us to pick against Seattle: Pick: Seahawks

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NFL Picks, Week 14: New England Patriots Face Shockingly Small Spread

NFL Week 14 is here and we are too with our weekly picks against the spread. We had a fantastic showing last week, going 13-3. We picked the Colts to beat the spread, we picked the Saints plus the points, and we picked Tim Tebow. We struck out on the Packers covering, the Falcons winning and the Cardinals. We are now 101-84 ATS this season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Here's our first five picks for Week 14 and now we'll share another five. We'll have the rest of the picks posted as the week goes on.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1): The line tells it all. This one is a toss up. The Jaguars are one of the worst offenses in the NFL while the Bucs have a horrible defense. What happens when those two things collide is an age old question in sports (Bad offense vs. Bad defense). When in doubt, go home. Pick: Jaguars

Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins (-3): Look how far the NFL's Dream Team has fallen. They are underdogs to the Dolphins who started the season as a favorite in the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes. Matt Moore is getting 'er done while the Eagles have fallen (apart). But you can't keep talent and pride down forever which is why we're predicting a bounce back week for Philly. Pick: Eagles

Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets (-9): The Jets, for all their faults, are still 7-5 and the Chiefs, for all their snappiness, still have Tyler Palko taking snaps. Pick: Jets

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (+4): The Saints are marching and will marching right into Tennessee and march all over the Titans. March on. Pick: Saints

New England Patriots at Washington Redskins (+9): Why is this spread so low when the Ravens and Steelers are double-digit favorites over bad teams? Is Vegas anticipating a let down? Are they reacting to the Patriots failure to cover the spread against the Colts last week? Not sure why but we're not gonna be suckered into their negativism. Pick: Patriots

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NFL Picks, Week 14: Can The Steelers And Ravens Cover Big Spreads?

NFL Week 14 is here and we are too with our weekly picks against the spread. We had a fantastic showing last week, going 13-3. We picked the Colts to beat the spread, we picked the Saints plus the points, and we picked Tim Tebow. We struck out on the Packers covering, the Falcons winning and the Cardinals. We are now 101-84 ATS this season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Here's our first five picks for Week 14. We'll have the rest of the picks posted as the week goes one.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.5): There's obviously only one question here, can the Steelers cover this big spread. Given how inept the Browns offense is (14.6 ppg) and the point in the season and the fact that it's a home game, we say, "Yes, They Can!". Pick: Steelers

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-17): This is exactly the same situation as above except the Colts are even worse and therefor the spread is even larger. Our answer, the same. Pick: Ravens

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (+3): The Panthers, aside from a three-point stinker against the Titans, have had no problem scoring points. It's their defense that's let them down and put them in a 4-8 hole. The Falcons have seven wins but have yet to beat a quality team. We'll go with Cam Newton. Pick: Panthers

Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-3): The Texans are down to their third string quarterback but they still have one of the best defenses in the league. The Bengals, as young teams do, have faded a bit after a hot start. Still, they are at home and should be able to find a way to score enough to beat the Texans. Pick: Bengals

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-7): The poor Lions have struggled but the Vikings are just horrible. Pick: Lions

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NFL Picks Week 13: Ravens To Cover Against Better Judgement

Here's our NFL Week 13 picks for the final games on the schedule. We already posted our picks for the first set of games and then picks for the next set. We finish out the week with the Cardinals and Cowboys and the rest of the late games. As a reminder, we are 88-81 ATS this season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).  And yes, we picked the Seahawks to beat the Eagles and yes, the Seahawks beat the Eagles.  

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+7): The Ravens should win this game but consider they only beat Arizona by 3 at home, the Bengals by 7 at home and lost to the Seahawks on the road. There's no reason to have confidence in Baltimore covering this spread on the road. Then again, the Browns offense is horrible. Pick: Ravens

Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals (+4.5): The Cardinals play well at home and the defense is much improved. They beat Dallas as an underdog last year, are the healthier team and will (should) have Kevin Kolb back. The Cowboys, however, are playing for their division and will be able to get pressure on Kolb and do a much better job against Beanie Wells than the horrible Rams run defense. Pick: Cowboys

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants (+7): The Packers are looking mighty unstoppable and the Giants have lost their last three and got blown out last week by the Saints. Pick: Packers

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-14): The Rams are a disappointing and bad football team. The Niners are a surprising and good football team. Steven Jackson will have a hard time running the ball and Sam Bradford is in for a long day. Pick: 49ers

Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints (-9): This Sunday Night Football gem will get far more attention than it deserves. The Bills are done and the Saints are looking to finish the season strong. Pick: Saints

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3): The Chargers have to be one of the most disappointing teams of the season and have lost five-straight. The Jaguars have themselves a new coach which means they could get a bounce and their defense is still good. Their offense, however, is horrible. Pick: Chargers

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NFL Picks, Week 13: Steelers Can Cover And Tebow Will Crush Vikings

Here's our picks against the spread for the next five games on the NFL Week 13 schedule. Our previous five picks are here. As a reminder, we are 87-81 ATS this season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).  We'll have picks for the rest of the schedule posted later in the week.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7): This should certainly be an interesting game with the resurgent Bengals and their young offensive stars trying to unseat the grand pappy of the AFC North. While the Bengals should make a game of it, it's hard to see the Steelers losing at home. The spread makes the pick a questionable but in the end the terrible towel should prevail. Pick: Steelers

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3): Only one game separates these teams in the standings and statistically, the Panthers are the better team. It's a bit of a toss up but we'll go with the upset. Pick: Panthers

New York Jets at Washington Redskins (+3): If you are a Jets fan you have our sympathies. What a crazy team. They should be good enough to beat the Redskins even on the road but you really never know. Pick: Jets

Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings (-1): We picked against the Tim Tebow last week and were punished for it. Not again. In the cold north the Broncos will be well suited to run the ball 40 or 70 times. The game's in a dome? Well, no matter, the Broncos will still run the ball. Adrian Peterson is questionable which doesn't help the Vikings and most importantly, the Denver defense has turned into a dominating unit. We're surprised this line is so small. Pick: Broncos

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-21): I don't recall a spread this large all season. Of course, when the mighty Pats are at home against the winless Colts it's understandable. Only question here is if Brady will pour it on or if this game will somehow stay out of the laughable zone. Coin toss on that one. Pick: Colts

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NFL Picks, Week 13: Will Michael Vick Play? It Doesn't Even Matter

It's time for our Week 13 NFL expert picks against the spread. We are "experts" by the nature of our making picks, it's how the world works these days. It's not as if there's a degree you can get in picking NFL games. What matters is your record and our record on the season is 87-81 ATS which is very respectable. So, here's our picks for NFL Week 13 for the first five games on the schedule. We'll post picks for the rest of the NFL schedule later in the week so check back often.

Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks (+2.5): Michael Vick may or may not play in this game but honestly, does it matter? He's not had a good season and the Eagles defense was already bad and is no banged up. The Seahawks are not a good football team but they do beat teams at home (like the Ravens). Pick: Seahawks

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (+1): Yuck. This one could get ugly and by that we mean they will play a game which by its very nature will be ugly. Chris Johnson might have finally played himself into game shape, however, which gives the edge to Tennessee but I wouldn't bet the farm on this one. I wouldn't bet the farm on anyone of them even if I had a farm. Pick: Titans

Kansas City Chiefs at Chicago Bears (-7.5): The battle of bad backup quarterbacks. Fun stuff. The Bears should win this game at home but the line seems a bit high. The Chiefs do put up a good fight. Pick: Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans (+2.5): No Matt Schaub. No Matt Leinart. Yes, Houston, we have a problem and his name isn't Matt. The Falcons haven't exactly been impressive but they do have seven wins and they do have a quarterback which is helpful in the NFL. Pick: Falcons

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins (-3): Boy, this one brings back memories of good old AFC battles back in the day. The Silver and Black and the Teal and Orange, an epic clash of colors. The Raiders have won three of four since Carson Palmer arrived and the Dolphins are showing signs of life after they were an early front-running in the "Suck for Luck" campaign. Who's sucking now, sucka! Pick: Dolphins

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NFL Picks, Week 12: What Would Tebow Do? (Not Cover)

Happy Thanksgiving everyone, here's our picks against the spread for NFL Week 12. We went two for three on Thanksgiving Day and are now 82-73 ATS this season. Here's our picks for the rest of the games (early games here). 

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (-3): Things are looking up for Kevin Kolb to return against the Rams. These final six games are extremely important for Kolb and the team. The defense is looking up and there's a strong desire to finish strong. Of course, the Rams are thinking the same thing. Pick: Rams

Chicago Bears at Oakland Raiders (-4): Poor Bears lost their quarterback. Shame, really. The Raiders can sympathize and now they have their replacement all set to go in the big battle between Carson Palmer and Caleb Hanie. Still no Darren McFadden for the Raiders but they are at home with those crazies in black. Pick: Raiders

Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5): The poor Red Skins started with so much promise while the Seahawks are who we thought they were...good at home. Pick: Seahawks

New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles (+4):  The Patriots are just too much for this psycho Philly team. Pick: Patriots

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (-6): What will Tim Tebow do this time?!? Lose (which is exactly what he wants us to say). Pick: Chargers

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (+11): Steam rolling through the heartland. Pick: Steelers

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-6.5): The Giants sure could use this game to stay in the playoff hunt. The Saints are known for a let-down and with their turkey-filled bellies, this could be it. Pick: Giants

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NFL Picks, Week 12: Thanksgiving Week Football Action

Thanksgiving in the NFL has to be one of our favorites as the Week 12 games signal a turn towards the playoffs. In the spirit of sharing, we bring you our picks against the spread for the Sunday games with all of your picks wishes for Thursday here and the rest of the picks coming later in the week.

Overall we are now 80-72 ATS on the season. You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).     

Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5): The Vikings will likely be without Adrian Peterson this week with a high ankle sprain. But they still could cover this big spread on the road against the Falcons, right? Wrong, not with a defense that gives up 27 points per game. Pick: Falcons

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5): We wait all year for these two Ohio powerhouses to face off in a battle of burn orange and brown/black. Fortunately, we get to see this rivalry happen twice! The Bengals won their first meeting 27-17 in Cleveland. There's no reason to think they won't repeat that performance at home. Pick: Bengals

Carolina Panthers at Indianapolis Colts (+3.5): The Colts have a two-game lead on the "Suck for Luck" campaign. That gives them the margin needed to go ahead and get the win here and avoid an 0-16 season. Pick: Colts

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5): If you are not excited about Matt Leinart's opportunity to lead the Texans to glory than you are no fan of Hollywood and hot tubs. Pick: Texans

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-8): Talk about ugly (and we are not talking about Rex Ryan's foot fetish). These are two teams that have been exposed and now we get to see how they match up a few weeks after the Jets beat the Bills 27-11 on the road. We're inclined to think that the Bills will cover the spread and lose based mostly on the Jets lack of fight and smarts. Pick: Bills

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tennessee Titans (-3): The Bucs are one of the season's biggest disappointments. They should at least be able to beat the Titans who may or may not have the services of Matt Hasselbeck. Pick: Buccaneers 

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NFL Picks, Week 12: Thanksgiving Day Football Action, Ravens And 49ers A True Holiday Blessing

Welcome to Week 12 of the NFL season and with that comes one of the biggest treats on the football schedule: Thanksgiving Day football. We have our picks against the spread for these three holiday games. After stuffing your face with Thanksgiving goodness, you can set back on your couch and enjoy some fantastic football.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (+7): On paper it would seem this game is a total mismatch. Despite playing in the Motor City, the Lions have just one win in their last four games (against Denver) and are facing the unquestionably best team in the league. Honestly, we can't really say why this line is only seven points. Pick: Packers

Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-7): So Aaron Rodgers is a seven-point favorite over the Lions and the Cowboys are ALSO a seven-point favorite at home against the Dolphins? Is Vegas high on turkey already or perhaps they know that Miami has been playing better of late and for some reason don't trust the Cowboys despite plus-ten margins of victory in their last three wins. Picks: Cowboys

San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-3): This is the game everyone will be waiting for. Fellas, start talking to the Thanksgiving dinner planner at your house now to make sure the eating is done before this evening game comes on. You are not going to want to miss a second of this one. In fact, we highly recommend eating around half time of the Miami - Dallas game which will give you some time to digest and be ready for seconds to be eaten in front of the TV.

As for the game, it's a true toss up. The 49ers have played fantastic football but at times have trouble moving the ball. They could easily get bogged down against the stiff Ravens defense. Baltimore has laid some serious eggs this season but they've also gotten up for the big game and this will certainly qualify. The three-point home advantage for the Ravens is a smart line and makes this a tough pick. When in doubt, go home. Pick: Ravens

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NFL Picks, Week 11: Cardinals Will Cover In San Francisco

Week 11 of the NFL season is here and we are back with our expert picks against the spread. Before we give our picks for the rest of the games, forgive us while we brad. Here's what we said about Tebow vs. Jets: "We'll give the edge to the home team and pray for another Tebow miracle..."

So, yeah, that happened. Overall we are now 75-66 ATS on the season. Where are you?  You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona)

We'll shared our Week 11 picks against the spread for the early games on Thursday and now we give your are picks for the rest of the Sunday and Monday football schedule.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-10): Despite the two-game roll and increased confidence and legit improvement on the defensive side of the ball, the Cardinals aren't likely to win this game. The question is, can John Skelton and the D keep it close. Factor in the Niners propensity for close games and the added intensity of the division rivalry and we think they won't cover. Pick: Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (-3): Another big NFC West battle (don't laugh!) between these fantastic teams (don't laugh!). The Seahawks had a huge win over the Ravens but that was at home. They are much worse on the road. The Rams should be slowly improving and this will be Sam Bradford's third game back from injury. Pick: Rams

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons (-7): We never bought into the Titans and aren't going to start now. Pick: Falcons

San Diego Chargers at Chicago Bears (-4): These two teams are totally unpredictable. Both are capable of great play and big wins and both are capable of pooping in their sheets. Coin toss says...Pick: Bears

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3.5): The Eagles probably will be without Vick and it's not like they've been playing well with him. Pick: Giants

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-15): How great is it that we get to see the Chiefs on Monday Night Football! Not so great. Pick: Patriots

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NFL Picks Against The Spread: Bengals Won't Find Respect From Ravens

As we've done all season, and as we will continue to due for the rest of the NFL season, we share with you our NFL picks against the spread. We are 74-66 ATS on the season. Where are you?  You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona)

Here we share with you our expert picks against the spread for NFL Week 11, the early games. We picked Thursday's Broncos vs Jets game here and we will have picks for the rest of the games posted on Friday.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-7): The Bengals came back to Earth last week with a beating at the hands of their division older brothers, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now they get to face a pissed off Ravens team on the road. There's a good reason this spread is seven points. Pick: Ravens

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (+1): Yeah, so this game is going to happen whether you care or not. Pick: Browns

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-7): The Lions have cooled from their hot start and Cam Newton has come back to this planet as well as defenses around the league catch up to the offenses. Jahvid Best (concussion) still isn't practicing while Matt Safford is. Pick: Lions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (-14): Last week we picked the Packers to let up and not cover the big spread. We were wrong. We will pick them to cover this week and will probably be wrong again. Picking this team with these spreads is a total shot in the dark. Pick: Packers

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-2): The Dolphins (2-7) are favored in this game. Let that sink in. The Bills are certainly banged up and they are coming off a 44-7 beat down in Dallas but we're not ready to buy into the Dolphins just because they beat Washington. Pick: Bills

Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings (+1): Like the rest of the free world, we didn't think Carson Palmer had a chance against the Chargers. We were wrong. Pick: Raiders.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+8): There was a point early in the season where this looked like it would be a big game but then the Redskins remembered they have Rex Grossman and John Beck driving the car. Pick: Cowboys

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NFL Picks Against The Spread: Tim Tebow Time Over Rex Ryan's Mouth

Week 11 of the NFL season is here and we are back with our expert picks against the spread. Where does the time go? It seems like just yesterday we were lamenting the lack of quality teams and the inability of defenses to stop the high-powered passing attacks in the league. Look how far we've come since then! 

We didn't have our best week last week with our picks but did manage to eek out an 8-8 record against the spread which puts us at 74-66 ATS on the season. Where are you?  You can still pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona)

We'll start our Week 11 picks against the spread with Thursday's game between the Jets and Broncos because between Rex Ryan cursing and Tim Tebow praying we might just see something special happen.

New York Jets at Denver Broncos (+5): There's an old (not so old) saying, "Don't bet against Tim Tebow, he's a winner". And while he technically did win three of four games, the Broncos defense helped and so did the quality of their opponents (Mia, Oak, KC). The Jets are either in a free fall or on the edge of bouncing back and going on a big run. With that team it's next to impossible to know which. 

We do know that to beat the Broncos you need to stop the run (they ran 55 times last week compared to just 8 passes). We also know that the Jets struggle to stop the run, especially on the road. The Broncos did give up 45 points to the Lions the last time they were home which is troublesome and the Jets are angry and desperate (shocking, huh) which makes this anything but a slam dunk. We'll give the edge to the home team and pray for another Tebow miracle but we're not feeling great about it. Pick: Broncos

We'll be back with the rest of our picks for NFL Week 11 on Thursday and Friday.

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 10: Green Bay Won't Cover Huge Line

NFL Week 10 marks the start of Thursday night football. With that change we will be providing our expert picks against the spread earlier in the week. We had a rough time last week (7-7, ATS) but we are still 66-58 ATS for the season. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).      

We already made our picks for the first group of games. He's our expert picks against the spread for the remaining NFL Week 10 slate.

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins (-4): Oh how the mighty have fallen. And by "mighty" we mean Rex Grossman and by "fallen" we mean John Beck. Both of these teams are still decent on defense but the Dolphins have performed better overall in the past few weeks. Pick: Dolphins

Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (n/a): There's no line on this game while we await word on Kevin Kolb's toe status

Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3): All signs point to a Texans win. Pick: Texans

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks (+7): This one is pretty simple. The Seahawks can't score against bad teams and the Ravens offense is on a roll. Pick: Ravens

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-3): These are two very difficult teams to pin down but the Lions defensive front seven matches up well against the Bears greatest strength. Pick: Lions

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5): We know the Giants are coming off their win over the Patriots but they don't match up nearly as well against the 49ers defense. At some point San Francisco will falter but not this week. Pick: 49ers

New England Patriots at New York Jets (-1): Here we go again. The AFC East always seems to give us these great battles. The Jets are fresh off a win and the Pats are in danger of losing three in a row. Gut check time and my gut says...Pick: Patriots

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-14): The Packers are going to win this game (obviously) but Vikings have the ability to play well at times and will be up for this division rival. 14 points is just too high for me on a Packers team that gives up a lot of yards. Pick: Vikings

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 10: Falcons Over Saints Our Lock Pick

NFL Week 10 marks the start of Thursday night football. With that change we will be providing our expert picks against the spread earlier in the week. We had a rough time last week (7-7, ATS) but we are still 66-58 ATS for the season. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).    

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-7): Maybe trading first round picks for Carson Palmer wasn't such a good idea. Who knew? The Chargers looked good in their loss to the Packers and should cruise here especially with Darren McFadden banged up. Pick: Chargers

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (+1): The Saints don't play well on the road and the Falcons are quietly putting together a decent season. Plus, Julio Jones is fun. Pick: Falcons

Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (-3.5): It's time for Cam Newton to get another win. Why? Because it's time. Pick: Panthers

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+3): The Steelers are pissed after letting the game against the Ravens slip away. For the Bengals, this is a chance to prove they are for real. I think they are for real but not quite this real...yet. Pick: Steelers

St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns (-3): Oh joy, we can't wait for this game. Pick: Rams

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (-5.5): The Bills are starting to show their cracks. They blew their chance at home last week against the Jets and will continue to fall. Pick: Cowboys

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (+3): Can the Colts continue their "Suck for Luck" quest? This week will be the true test. We think they get it done. Pick: Jaguars

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5): Tim Tebow is 2-1 as a starter. The Chiefs crapped the bed against the Dolphins. We have zero clue what's going to happen in this game. Pick: Chiefs

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 9: Eagles Over Bears Despite 9-Point Spread

With virtually no fan fare at all, we give you our NFL Week 9 expert picks against the spread. You can take these picks and do with them what you will, but know that we are 59-51 ATS. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).      

Here's our picks for the Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday games. We'll have the rest of the picks posted on Friday and here's our lock of the week.     

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (-9): Tim Tebow versus Carson Palmer, we can't wait! We have to give the edge to the Raiders at home but with Darren McFadden banged up, we don't see a cover. Pick: Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (-3): We just can't buy into the Titans...or the Bengals. But we buy more Bengals than Titans. Pick: Bengals

New York Giants at New England Patriots (-9): The Giants are banged up and the Patriots are coming off a loss. This one is easy if the spread wasn't so high. Damn those Vegas odds-makers! Pick: Patriots

Green Bay Packers at San Diego Chargers (+5.5): The Chargers aren't right and they aren't going to get right against the Packers. Pick: Packers

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5): We already picked this one. 

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-8): The Eagles have turned the corner and put all that "Dream Team" talent to good use. Pick: Eagles

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (?): The line on this game ranges from Cards -1 to Cards -3 with "no line" also an option. That's what happens when you have both starting quarterbacks "questionable" for the game. Regardless, we're going to pick the home team because we're homers. Pick: Cardinals

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 9: Cowboys Can Cover Big Spread, Texans Won't

With virtually no fan fare at all, we give you our NFL Week 9 expert picks against the spread. You can take these picks and do with them what you will, but know that we are 59-51 ATS. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).  

Here's our picks for the Sunday morning games. We'll have the rest of the picks posted on Friday and here's our lock of the week.     

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-1.5): This is a huge game for both teams and as we've seen over the Rex Ryan era, the Jets don't do well in huge games. Mix in home field and this one is a pretty easy call. Pick: Bills

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (-12): The question is pretty obvious, can Cowboys cover this huge spread? Given the 15 total points the Seahawks have score over their last two games, we don't think so even if Tavaris Jackson plays. Pick: Cowboys

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (-12.5): Same question as above except this time we don't think the Texas have it in them to put up enough points to cover. Pick: Browns

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts (+7.5): Are you seeing a trend? Bad teams with huge spreads. The Colts have shown little to make us think they can cover against an Atlanta team that's approaching desperation. Pick: Falcons

Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (-4): There was a point not too long ago when Todd Haley's head was on the chopping block, now they are tied for first in their division. The Dolphins? Not so much. Pick: Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-8.5): This game is all about revenge. The Saints lost to the Bucs. The Saints lost to the Rams. No way the Saints lose this game, and if they do you can write them off. Pick: Saints

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins (+4): The Redskins started the season with so much promise but eventually Bad Rex Grossman showed up and now it's all a mess. Pick: 49ers

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 9: Pittsburgh Steelers A Lock Over Baltimore Ravens

The NFL schedule for Week 9 brings us a rematch of one of the best rivalries in professional football. The Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Baltimore Ravens and look to avenge their opening game stinker. We will be sharing our expert picks against the spread for the entire Week 9 schedule in the coming days. Today we start with this big game which is surprisingly easy to call.

Before we get into this week's picks, let's quickly review last week and where we are for the season with our ATS picks. Looking back, we had a horrible week making some indefensible "gut" picks that failed and still did OK.

We took the Seahawks at home over the Bengals, giving Seattle too much credit for home field and not respecting Cincinnati enough. We also bought into the Tebow hype and more importantly the Lions slide. Both of those picks in retrospect were horrible and yet we still managed to go 6-7 for the week which puts us at 59-51 for the season against the spread. Suck on that, Vegas!

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5): These two teams have a long history of close games but long history isn't always a good predictor of the future. What matters more is the Ravens recent road loss to Jacksonville and barely escaping with a home win over Arizona. Meanwhile, the Steelers have recovered from a slow start to the season and are rolling as shown by their destruction of the New England Patriots.

These two teams have fantastic defenses as always, but the difference right now is Ben Roethlisberger who is playing at an exceptional level. Joe Flacco might have been able to pick apart the young Cardinals corners but will not have such luck against Pittsburgh. If the defenses cancel each other out, the Big Ben plus home field plus revenge factor make this pick our lock of the week. Pick: Steelers

You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).        

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NFL Expert Picks: Steelers Defense Good Enough To Slow Patriots

The NFL Week 8 schedule saved it's best game for the afternoon. We are going to provide our expert pick against the spread for the Patriots vs. Steelers along with the rest of the games on the football slate. Here's our picks for the morning games. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).    

Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills (-6): The Redskins are in a bit of a free fall since Rex Grossman fell back to Earth. The Bills defense hasn't been good but at home they should still be able to slow down the Redskins offense that lost Tim Hightower for the season and is starting John Beck at QB. Pick: Bills

Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos (+3): The Lions are slowing after a great start to the season. They have injuries at running back and Matt Stafford is questionable. On the other side, Tim Tebow will be making his home debut for the season but will be facing a formidable front seven. Based on injuries, we can't go with the Lions: Pick: Tebow

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3): The best game of the week features Tom Brady against a highly-ranked Steelers pass defense. The Pats still haven't found a way to stop teams through the air or generate rush pressure. Ben Roethlisberger is looking good and at home they should have the edge. Pick: Steelers

Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers (-9): The 49ers have played their way into respectability. We're still waiting for their schedule to get harder, but in the mean time their defense should have no problems with the Browns: Pick: 49ers

Cincinnati Bengals at Seattle Seahawks (+1): Don't watch this game. Don't bet on this game. Only pick this game if you absolutely have to. Pick: Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5): This is the second-best game of the week and is featured on Sunday Night Football on NBC. The Eagles may have turned their season around with a win last week in Washington but then again, maybe the Redskins just fell apart. We think so. Pick: Cowboys

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (+4): The Chiefs put together a good win in Oakland and the Chargers are coming off a loss. Still, the Chargers are a much better team and should bounce back easily. Pick: Chargers

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 7: Pick Against The Packers At Your Peril

Week 7 of the NFL season is upon us and so let our expert picks against the spread be upon you. Here's the picks for the afternoon, evening and Monday night games. Picks for the rest of the week's schedule can be found here and here. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (-6): Welcome to the NFL, Carson Palmer! You might be out of shape and rusty but you get the Chiefs at home which is basically a warm-up game. Pick: Raiders

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-13): Last week we got burned picking the Rams to cover the spread against Green Bay. Not again will we make that mistake, especially considering how good the Cowboys defense has been. Pick: Cowboys

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+10): We keep waiting for the Packers to stumble. There's no reason on Earth they should, but gut instinct says the combination of being on the road, the Vikings coming off a Bears beat-down, and Green Bay hubris says that they won't cover. Pick: Vikings

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-14): The Saints are certainly 14 points better than the Colts. Pick: Saints

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5): This is a tough one to pick. The Ravens will certainly have no problem holding the Jaguars down but will they score enough points to cover? Flip a coin, we did. Pick: Ravens

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 7: Jets And Charges, Where We Pick Against The Better Team

NFL Week 7 expert picks against the spread are here so you can stop your worrying and get down to following our advice as you gamble your life away. Seriously, folks, don't gamble your life away and if you insist on doing that, please try and get plenty of advice. 

Here's our picks for the Sunday morning games. We'll have picks for the rest of the games on Friday. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers (-3): Welcome to the NFL season, John Beck! Cam Newton can probably share a few tips. Newton had a pretty poor game last week and let us down with our pick but we will not be deterred. Pick: Panthers

Seattle Seahawks at Cleveland Browns (-3): The Browns are pretty good defensively at home. The Seahawks are a bad road team under normal circumstances. This week they aren't even sure if Tavaris Jackson or Charlie Whitehurts will be taking snaps on Sunday. Pick: Browns

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (-3.5): Pretty much everything in this game favors the Lions, including their desire to bounce back after blowing a late lead to the 49ers. Yet the line is only 3.5 points? Vegas, sometimes you make this too easy. Pick: Lions

Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins (-1.5): Tim Tebow returns to Florida! We hear it's going to be a state holiday (and yes, people in Florida work on Sundays). Pick: Tebow

San Diego Chargers at New York Jets (-2.5): Here we have the best game on the schedule for Sunday morning. The Chargers are rounding into form but the Jets at 3-3 are fighting for their playoff life. The Chargers are the better team but the better team doesn't always win. Pick: Jets

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1): Are you surprised as we are that the Bucs are 4-2? Neither of these teams are consistent and the Vegas spread here recognizes this one is a toss up. If we could skip this pick we would. Pick: Bears 

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3): We still are not entirely convinced that this really isn't the same team. Both teams are good defensively but the edge goes to the Titans passing game over the Texans secondary. Pick: Titans

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 7: Why Steelers Getting Little Vegas Love Vs. Cardinals

Before we get into the NFL Week 7 picks, lets look back at a miserable performance against the spread from last week. On the season, we are still over .500 (44-41) but last week was bad with just five of 13 correct. Sometimes that happens but mostly we blame karma for slamming us with some humility after too much bragging.

The only early game we got right was the Bengals over the Colts. Everything else was a disaster. Cam Newton had his worst game of the season against Atlanta just when we predicted his breakout game. We thought the Packers would let down and not cover against a bad team (Rams) and the Steelers would pick it up and blow out their poor opponent (Jaguars). The opposite happened. Washington sank. The Lions blew their chance against the 49ers (and did you hear about the dust up between the coaches!). And even the Giants game we picked right we lost by .5 a point.

The afternoon and evening games did provide redemption with our expert picks against the spread going four-for-six including the Cowboys losing but covering just as we predicted.

This week we will start with the Cardinals vs. Steelers on Wednesday and then do picks for the early games on Thursday and the rest of the slate on Friday.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals (+4): The obvious question here is why this line is so small. The Steelers are 4-2 while the Cardinals and Kevin Kolb (1-4) seem to be moving in the wrong direction and have gotten worse with each game instead of better. There's not a single statistical category on either side of the ball that Arizona has and edge over Pittsburgh and no major injuries are impacting either side.

The answer to the low line probably lies in the Steelers 0-3 road record against the spread, their poor showing at home against the Jaguars in a 17-13 win, and the fact that Arizona is both desperate and coming off a bye week. The Cardinals are also much MUCH better at home going 21-13 vs 12-23 on the road.

The Cardinals had a players-only meeting after their embarrassing loss to Minnesota and claim to have had great practices last week and this week. They are saying all the right things but ultimately, it comes down to Kevin Kolb and his ability to read and react to pressure in the pocket and on that front, we're not sold. Pick: Steelers

Note: It's still early in the week so this pick could change if there's significant news from either side. We'll provide an update to this stream if that happens.

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NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread: Cowboys Can Cover In New England

We've shared our picks for NFL Week 6 morning games and gave you our Lock of the Week. Now it's time to share our expert picks against the spread for the Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday Night Football game. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-8): Are the Ravens really this good? Well, they have a 15.5 point differential compared to 6.4 for the Texans and are at home. Pick: Ravens

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (-7): The Cleveland Browns aren't as bad as you think they are but they don't score a lot of points (18.5/gm) and the Raiders are really hard to stop at home. Pick: Raiders

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (-7): The Cowboys are coming off a bye week which came at a great time for them. They are rested and hungry but in New England against Tom Brady? For all the talk about the passing yards allowed by New England, they give up fewer points than Dallas. This one is a tough call with conflicting info on both sides. In the end, the Patriots should win but won't cover. Pick: Cowboys

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5): The Saints are a much better team and should be favored by more than five-points. Vegas must be accounting for a Tampa Bay bounce back after getting embarrassed in San Fran last week. Fair enough, but that doesn't change the fact that Drew Brees should be able to throw the ball at will against the Bucs 25th-ranked home passing defense. Pick: Saints

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-3): Not only will the Vikings cover, but they should win this game. Jared Allen and Brian Robinson will be in Jay Cutler's shorts all night. Pick: Vikings

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-7): The Jets have to be the worst team to pick and that's because they are terribly inconsistent and wildly insane. Wonder where they get that from, Rex? Still, Miami has nothing good going and on the road with Matt Moore. Pick: Jets

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 6: Green Bay Packers Due For A Let Down

NFL Week 6 doesn't have a ton of great games. The best of Sunday morning is San Francisco at Detroit (who knew!) which we already called our Lock of the Week. The rest of the early games aren't all that interesting except maybe the Eagles at Redskins but that's a stretch. Here's our expert picks against the spread for the Sunday morning games. 

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-4): The Panthers have been close in a lot of games this year and the Falcons haven't exactly had their act together. Even though they are on the road, Carolina is a better passing, rushing and scoring team. Defensively, they are about equal. So with the numbers leaning towards the Panthers and the home field for the Falcons, it's about a toss up. Gut feel says this is Cam Newton's time to break through. Pick: Panthers

Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals (-7): Yup, this one is totally one-sided with every advantage going to the three-win Bengals, headlined by their above average defense. Through in home field and seven points seems a bit low. Pick: Bengals

St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers (-15.5): We don't really need to explain why the Packers are such heavy home favorites with nine wins separating these two teams' records. However, 15.5 points is a big spread and this has trap game written all over it. Rams to cover. Pick: Rams

Buffalo Bills at New York Giants (-3): The Giants are fresh off an embarrassing home loss to the Seahawks and should be mad. They also should be able to get pressure on Ryan Fitzpatrick and force some turnovers. Pick: Giants

Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-13): While the Packers might let down against the Rams, the Steelers are still just regaining their footing. They are going to want to consolidate last week's big win over Tennessee and follow it up with another beating. The Jaguars play the perfect patsy. Pick: Steelers

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+2): This line makes no sense. The Eagles defense has been bad. Michael Vick hasn't been great. The game is in Washington where their defense is even better. It might not be a pretty game and the 47.5 total points begs for the under, but there's no way we are taking Philly on the road. Pick: Redskins

We'll have the Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday night game picks posted on Friday. You can pick against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 6: Detroit Over San Francisco A Lock

Before we share our expert picks for NFL Week 6 which include our lock of the week here with the rest of the picks coming on Thursday and Friday, let's look back. Last week we correctly picked eight of 13 picks with only four wrong and one push. These aren't just picking winners here, we're picking against the spread and beating Vegas odds makers at their own game.

Does this mean you should take our expert picks straight to the betting window or your local bookie? No. We don't encourage betting money on NFL football games. We do however, heartily support you using our picks to beat your friends in friendly pick 'em contests. You can even use our picks against us in our weekly contest which you can join here (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Here's the four games we got wrong last week (because we believe in accountability). We picked the Colts -3 over the Chiefs in a game that easily could have gone that way but didn't. Once again we got burned believing in the Cardinals -- that won't happen again. The Saints were six-point favorites over the Panthers and we went against our instinct to bet on Cam to beat the spread and lose the game. He did, we didn't pick him, we both lost. Finally we went with the Titans to upset the Steelers but Pittsburgh was having none of that.

Our Lock of Week is one of the mostly highly anticipated games on the NFL Week 6 schedule:

San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions (-4.5): The Lions are the home favorite and bring their 5-0 record to bear against the 4-1 49ers. Both teams beat the Buccaneers and both teams have some wins over bad teams under their belt. Their one common opponent, the Cowboys, beat the 49ers in San Fran and lost to the Lions at home.

This game features two of the best defenses in the NFL which should keep the points down. And while the 49ers will do a better job against Javhid Best than the Bears did, the real difference here is through the air. Alex Smith with limited time will struggle to move the ball while Matthew Stafford will find Calvin "Megatron" Johnson enough times to win this game by a touchdown. Pick: Lions 

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NFL Picks, Week 5: Green Bay Packers A Lock Over Atlanta

Once again, we are here to share you wisdom and NFL picks insight with you. Our experts have racked up an impressive 31-29 record of picks against the spread for the NFL season so far. We've already laid out our picks for the Sunday early games for NFL Week 5, here's the afternoon, evening and Monday Night Football Hank Williams Jr. Memorial picks.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers (-3): The 49ers defense is for real and the Bucs have been struggling to put points on the board. We also love to pick against San Francisco with our hearts but the mind says the spread's not enough. Pick: 49ers

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (+4): Will this be the week that Phillip Rivers finally goes into beast mode or will the injuries to his top targets still limited what they can do. The Bronco's like to give up passing yards so we're going with the former. Pick: Chargers

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-9): The Patriots for all their Brady still aren't defending very well. Unfortunately for the Jets, Sanchez is reverting to poor form and Rex Ryan is still...feet!. Pick: Patriots

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (+6): Why on earth is Green Bay only getting six points to the Falcons? Yes, it's a road game but it's not like Atlanta is a tough place to play and it's not like Atlanta is all that good. Pick: Packers

Chicago Bears at Detroit Loins (-6): The Bears continue to thrive in mediocrity while the Lions get a first look at Nick Fairley joining that already tough defense. Pick: Lions

You can join our weekly pick 'em game as well (ID: 55411, PW: arizona)     

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers Not A Good Pick

Honestly, we're running out of ways to introduce these weekly NFL picks. We like to use words that help you find us, like NFL picks against the spread and Vegas odds. If you are readying this now, it must have worked and you could really care less by this point. So, here's our NFL Week 5 picks for the Sunday early games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills (+3): The Eagles are loaded with problems and are an underdog on the road against the Bills? I guess Vegas is factoring in desperation, but of course the Bills lost last week too. Pick: Bills 

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (+7): Drew Brees vs. Cam Newton, who knew this would be a fun match-up in Week 5? Pick: Saints

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans (-6): The Texans are without Andre Johnson for a few weeks and the Raiders are impossible to predict. Pick: Raiders

Kansas City at Indianapolis Colts (-3): Wow, can't wait for this game! On second thought....wow, I can't wait for this game to be over!! Pick: Colts

Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1): The Bengals are actually a fairly decent team and a very legit defense and they are a one-point dog? Come on, Vegas, you are making this too easy. Pick: Cincinnati

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (-10): The Giants are going to win this game but not by 10 points. Pick: Seahawks

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3): This should be a very interesting game. The Titans defense is good and the Steelers is not. Pick: Titans

You can join our weekly pick 'em game as well (ID: 55411, PW: arizona)    

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 5: Where We Kick Vegas In The Tail

We kicked ass in our NFL picks last week in our pick 'em game going 11-for-16 against the spread. If you want to beat the Vegas odds, we highly suggest you listen to what we said last week. As for Week 5, who knows. But we can say with great confidence that we were awesome last week.

Instead of bragging about all the picks we got right, there's just too many, we'll review the misses. We picked the Buffalo Bills to beat the Cincinnati Bengals, but who didn't? We refuse to feel bad about that one. A bigger mistake was taking the Cleveland Browns at +1.5 over the Tennessee Titans. Oops.

The Minnesota vs. Kansas City debacle was a toss up -- no regrets there. We also picked the Falcons to beat the Seahawks, which they did but couldn't cover the 4.5-point spread. Yes, we did pick the Cardinals to beat the Giants and if it weren't for a blown call (and the inability to hold a lead or get a stop) we would have won that one too.

So yeah, 11-4 last week against the spread. We'll take that and you should be dying by this point to see our picks for Week 5. We'll do one on Wednesday, then more on Thursday and Friday.

You can join our pick 'em game (ID: 55411, PW: arizona) as well and try and beat us (good luck with that!).

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-1): This game opened with the Vikings a three-point favorite which basically means they are getting the home field bump and nothing else. The line dropped in some places to one-point which probably accounts for Vegas remembering that Donovan McNabb is still the quarterback in Minnesota.

The Vikings had big halftime leads in three of their games and blew them. The Cardinals lost three games by a total of eight points. Something has to give and we think it will be the Vikings giving up big yards to Beanie Wells and Larry Fitzgerald and the the Minnesota offensive line giving up pressure. Pick: Arizona

We'll have picks for Sunday morning games on Thursday and picks for Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday will come out on Friday. Stay tuned and as always, don't bet real money on our picks (even though we are 31-29 on the season).

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 4: Ravens And Jets Highlight Sunday

Week 4 of the NFL 2011-12 season should start to separate pretenders from the contenders. Then again, it probably won't. In the mean time, Vegas has set the lines and we're going to share our experts picks on the Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday night football picks come on Friday.

You can join our weekly pick 'em game as well (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).  Here's our picks against the spread for the late games (picks for earlier games here):

New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (+1): Already did this pick here.

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (+5.5): We really have a hard time seeing the Seahawks string two wins together at any point this season. Coming off their big win over Arizona, they are due for a take down in this bird on bird match-up. We're going with the dirty bird over the sea chicken. Pick: Falcons

Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (-13): The best team in the NFL against the team who's fans are crying for Tim Tebow. This really couldn't be any easier to pick despite the large spread. Pick: Green Bay

New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+5): What are the chances that the Patriots follow up their loss to the Bills with a loss to the Raiders. Tom Brady cut his hair so we know he's taking this one seriously. Pick: Patriots

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-7): The Chargers had a tough time putting away the Chiefs and now they get a second chance at pounding a bad team (and covering the spread). Pick: Chargers

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-4): This makes for a great AFC battle on Sunday Night Football. This one is also really tough to call with the Ravens at home and Jets coming off a loss. The result will give us a great idea of the pecking order but it's hard to call. Pick: Ravens

Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10.5): This is what Monday Night Football has come to? Ugh. Pick: Colts

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NFL Expert Picks, Week 4: Steelers At Texans Presents Spread Dilemma

Week 4 of the NFL 2011-12 season should start to separate pretenders from the contenders. Then again, it probably won't. In the mean time, Vegas has set the lines and we're going to share our experts picks on the Sunday morning games. Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday night football picks come on Friday. You can join our weekly pick 'em game as well (ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (-7): The Bears should win this game coming off their beating by Green Bay with a win but seven points is too much against the Cam Newtons. Pick: Panthers

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (+3): Vegas must be expecting some kind of Bills let down by setting this line so low. We're expecting no such let down. Pick: Bills

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-1): Browns are at home and Peyton Hillis is due for a big game. Also, we have a rule that we never bet on Matt HasselbeckPick: Browns

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-1): Can Tony Romo play another game on one lung? Not against the Lions defensive line. Picks: Lions

Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans (-4): This will be a bellwether game for both teams and is a tough call. Both teams move the ball but can the Texans cover Mike Wallace? No, they can't. Pick: Texans

New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5): The Jaguars are bad. The Saints are good. Pick: Saints

Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs (+2): This is a game full of suck. Flip a coin. On second hand, go with Adrian Peterson, the best player on the field. Pick: Vikings

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7): A lot depends on Michael Vick playing, we assume he won't so are going with the 49ers to cover. Pick: 49ers

Washington Redskins at St. Louis Rams (+1.5): The Rams are not good enough to beat the Redskins and with this slim line it's an easy pick: Pick: Redskins

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NFL Picks, Week 4: Where We Picked The Bills Right And Jets Wrong; Plus Cardinals Vs. Giants

It was a bit of a typical NFL week with a couple of upsets but nothing completely out of whack. Of course, Vegas had accounted for all that with their tight lines which made picking against the spread a tough business. Before we move forward with our Week 4 expert picks, we'll take a look back at how we did last week. It's our nod to the quint notion of accountability.

For the week, our experts got seven out of 16 picks right which isn't exactly stellar but puts us in second place in our weekly pick 'em contest that you can join at any time (ID: 55411, PW: arizona). We also got two of three locks right, so there.

The big winner pick was the Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots which we had as one of our locks of the week. We missed on the Detroit Lions over the Minnesota Vikings but only by half of a point. We also correctly called Cam Newton's first Carolina Panthers win over Jacksonville. 

Our worst pick, aside from Cardinals losing to the Seahawks, was picking the Jets on the road in Oakland. The Jets are a ridiculously inconsistent team and if we could exclude them from our weekly picks, we would. But we can't, so we won't. Just don't bet any real money on them!

We'll jump into our expert picks for the rest of Week 4 at a later time, but will go ahead and get the local team out of the way now. Since it's only Wednesday, we do reserve the right to come back to this game if any big injury news shows up.

New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals (+1): The line of this game actually ranges from Giants -3 to Arizona +1 which is a pretty big spread between the various lines. We'll see if that stabilizes later in the week as the injury status of Beanie Wells is more clear (which it should be). 

As the tight lines indicate, this game is basically a toss up and that's understandable. The Giants are coming off a big road win against their division rivals (Philadelphia Eagles) and could be in for a let down. The Cardinals are coming off a big loss to their division rivals (Seattle Seahawks) and should be kind of desperate and are playing at home where they are pretty decent. On the other hand, the Cardinals have had holes on boths sides of the ball exposed and Eli Manning is in the midst of a great run of play. We'll got with desperation over talent. Pick: Cardinals

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NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread, Week 3: Packers At Bears A Lock

Week 3 of the NFL season is time for the good teams to shake off a bit of rust and show themselves. Conversely it's time for the crap teams to confirm our suspicions and head straight for the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. In the middle the remains a few teams, like Arizona and Atlanta, who could easily head in one direction of another based on what goes down over the weekend.

Of course, the Vegas odds makers know all this as well so they adjust the lines to make our task even harder. But we can't be stopped, so here's our picks against the spread for Week 3 of the 2011 NFL season. We already made our home town pick and picks for the Sunday morning games (including a few locks). Here's our expert picks for the rest of the slate.

New York Jets at Oakland Raiders (+3.5): The Jets destroyed the Jaguars and the Raiders blew a 17-0 led last week so of course Vegas sets the line at just over a field goal. All this tells us is that too many degenerates from Raiders Nation are spending their mortgage money at the betting window. Pick: Jets

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-15): The Chiefs are the new Lions. Will they win any games this year will all those injury problems on top of an already iffy team? Will Todd Haley have a job by October? Will Norv Turner find a way to blow another sure thing? Not this time. Pick: Chargers

Baltimore Ravers at St. Louis Rams (+4): Poor Rams, they were supposed to be the NFC West's new champions but instead they've suffered some tough injury blows and are dealing with a difficult schedule. Life sucks when you're the darling. On the other hand, the Ravens bouncing back from a Titan defeat is as certain as death and NFL fines: Pick: Ravens

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+4): Good game for our Midwest friends. The only thing missing will be blowing snow. We get giving the Bears a couple of extra points at home, but Aaron Rodgers is in another class and Jay Cutler is always just one snap away from the end of his season: Pick Packers

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1): Josh Freeman a one-point favorite at home over the high flying Falcons. At some point Atlanta is going to get on the same page and start blowing teams away. It won't be this week. Pick: Buccaneers

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+11): The Steelers covered a 15-point spread last week against the Seahawks when we picked against them. Not this time. Pick: Steelers

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (n/a): The line on this Monday night game hasn't been set yet although the latest news seems to imply that Tony Romo's ribs will be padded and playing. Pick: N/a

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NFL Picks, Week 3: Patriots Overvalued; Cam Newton Still Getting Dissed

For NFL Week 3 we will look at the lines and spreads coming out of vegas and share our picks with you. This group of picks covers the Sunday morning games. We'll be back on Friday with our Sunday afternoon, evening and Monday night picks against the spread. Don't forget to join our Pick 'Em league: (ID: 55411, PW: arizona):

We'll start things off with the locks and even one upset. Before we start throwing your tomatoes all the way from Bean Town, just remember how many yards your team has given up. 

Locks of the Week

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+9): The Bills look like they might be legit but the Pats are too legit to...OK, we'll quit. But on the road with the Pats horrible pass defense we think this line is just too high. Let's call it our upset of the week, shall we? Pick: Bills

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (+4): This is another line that baffles us. The Vikings are suck while the Loins have been seriously impressive and yet only four points? Easy. Pick: Lions

Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers (-3.5): Cam Newton is only a 3.5 point favorite over the Jaguars AT HOME. Do these guys in Vegas even watch football? Pick: Panthers

Other picks we made but don't feel great about:

San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-1): The line here tells us all we need to know. If we had a choice we'd avoid making a pick on this game but we don't so we'll go with the home team to win and Alex Smith to not win. Pick: Bengals 

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-2.5): I remember the days when this meant Dan Marino vs. Bernie Kosar. It was a good time before the name "Bernie' was ruined forever by a really bad series of movies. "Dan" is still a generic enough name to have survived which is good. Once again faced with a tight line and two yuck teams we will go with the home crowd. Pick: Browns

Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (-5.5): This feels like a the right line. The Saints at home are better than the Texans but we're not yet convinced they are that much better. But 5.5 is still a wuss line so we're going with Nola by a touchdown. Pick: Saints

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants ( n/a): No line on this game until we find out how much Michael Vicks head is still attached to his shoulders. Check back later on this one once Vegas sets the spread. Pick: Will Have To Wait

Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (-7.5): This line opened at 4.5 but was bet up in part, we think, as an over reaction to the Tennessee win over the Ravens. Let's not forget that Matt Hasselbeck is still the quarterback for the Titans. Then again, maybe it's probably time for Chris Johnson to finally get going. Pick: Titans

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NFL Picks Against The Spread, Week 3: Cardinals Get Little Love Vs. Seahawks

Before we delved into our picks for Week 3 of the NFL season, which we will spread out over the rest of the week, let's take a look at how we did against the spread last week. We got half of our picks correct with seven correct and missed on seven and two pushes. We are currently ranked fourth in our pick 'em fantasy league (which you can still join: ID: 55411, PW: arizona).

We hit big with our lock of the week on the Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers game where we picked the Cam Newton to keep it close enough to cover the spread. We missed on the Ravens imploding in Tennessee. In retrospect, the worst pick we made was for the Jets to not cover the nine-point spread against the Jaguars

With your confidence in us at an all time high, we move into our Week 3 picks starting with the local team. We'll follow later with the early games and then the afternoon, evening and Monday night game. Stay tuned for those which will come before Friday.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (+3): From a picking perspective, this one is a no-brainer. We're not really sure why Vegas has set this line so low. The Seahawks have a horrible quarterback and an offense that's produced all of 17 total points while the defense has allowed 57 through two weeks. Yes, the home field advantage in Seattle used to be strong but with a team this bad it shouldn't matter. Perhaps the line reflects a lack of national respect for the Cardinals. Perhaps the money just doesn't like betting on Arizona due to immigration politics. We really don't know anything other than our pick. Pick: Cardinals  

We also know that the Cardinals absolutely can't lose this game and the line would have to be close to nine for us to pick Seattle to cover in a loss.

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NFL Week 2 Picks Against The Spread: Michael Vick Vs. The ATL

We've shared our NFC West and upset and game of the week picks against the spread. We examined the lines for the NFL Week 2 Sunday morning games. And we've asked you join our Pick 'Em league: (ID: 55411, PW: arizona). Now we wrap up our NFL picks for Week 2 with three afternoon games that slipped through the cracks. Two of them are quite forgettable but the final game could be the third best contest of the week.

Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-3.5): Bleh. We don't recommend watching this game unless you absolutely have to. But since at some point you will have to pick a winner and try and beat the Vegas spread, we can't fully ignore it. The Bengals defense is fairly decent and they did beat the Browns last week while the Broncos are pretty pathetic in all parts of their game. But Denver is at home and Cincy isn't exactly a great team so we have to go with the Broncos but we wouldn't bet our own money on this one. Pick: Broncos

Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (+3): The Texans pounded the Colts in Week 1 and some people think they are for realz. We don't. But then again, the Dolphins aren't exactly anything to write home about. Miami did put up big numbers against the Patriots in their loss last week. For no other reason than the Texan defense might be half-way decent. Pick: Texans

Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (+3): This is the game you don't want to miss. Michael Vick returning to Atlanta is a fun side story, but the real fun here is two highly touted teams battling it. Both had their issues last week but the Eagles had an easier match up so they won while the Falcons faced a tougher Bears opponent. Given the results from last week, Atlanta is the underdog at home but we think they'll bounce back and expose the Eagles offensive line. Pick Falcons

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NFL Picks Against The Spread: Locks For Sunday Morning Games

It's not like we are claiming to know more than the odds makers in Vegas who set these attractive lines for the NFL Week 2 games. But that won't stop us from sharing our picks against the spread just to see how good we are and because you folks obviously spend a lot of time interested in trying to get every last bit of information you can before making your bets.

Here's our picks for the Sunday, Week 2 NFL games starting at 1:00 p.m. ET / 10:00 a.m. PT. These, obviously, don't include the games we've already picked. Don't forget that you can also play along with our weekly Pick 'Em league: (ID: 55411, PW: arizona). Lock it down, here we go.

Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-3.5): The Bills dismantled the Chiefs in Week 1 while the Raiders took care of the Broncos. Now we get to find out which of these two teams benefited from a really crappy opponent and which one is legit. Actually, on second thought, this game isn't going to answer that question at all. Picking against  the Raiders on the road is usually a safe way to go and between the two, if we have to pick, we'll go with the Bills as being more "for real" than the Raiders. Pick: Bills

Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions (-8.5): The Chiefs were in the playoffs last year and the Lions won six games. Yet here we are with the Lions a huge favorite. This proves, again, how fast things can change in the NFL. The spread is a daunting but we just don't see how Kansas City is able to run the ball against that Detroit defense. Pick: Lions

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (+3): Speaking of how fast things can change, how about the Colts a three point dog AT HOME against the BROWNS. This one is basically a push but we're going to bet on pride and go with the Colts to win. Pick: Colts

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-3): Yuck. Don't watch this game unless you have to. Donovon McNabb has no business collecting an NFL paycheck which make it all the more surprising to see them favored over the Bucs. Tampa isn't as bad as they looked in Week 1 and will bounce back. Pick: Buccaneers

Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-7): This is probably the most intriguing game of the morning. The Bears started hot last year which got them enough wins to make the playoffs. Can they do it again on the road against the Saints? Not likely. But, we do think the line is a bit too high. Pick: Bears

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets (-9): I don't blame you if you forgot the Jaguars were still in the NFL. The Jets very well could forget too and have a let down game at home. Rex Ryan might be a hoot but he's also horrible at getting his team ready for this trap games. We could see the Jets needing some kind of late fluke to win a close game they should run away with. Where have we seen that before? Pick: Jaguars

Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (+6.5): This will be an interesting game. The Ravens really need to build on their Week 1 thumping of the Steelers and the Titans desperately need to convince their poor fans not to flee in panic. This is a tough game to call at 6.5 points but we'll go with quality over desperation: Pick: Ravens

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